West Portal Property Values Q2 2015

By:
Eric Castongia, CRS
Residential Sales Specialist

Property values up again in West Portal in the Second Quarter

WP street scene-2 There was a little burst of energy between the first and second quarters. The market is under constant change and evolution, so one has to nimble and active to stay on top of it. I can tell you there are a lot of conversations between real estate agents to keep tabs on the trends of the market!

Toward the end of the quarter, the number of offers seem to have gone down, but not necessarily the amount of the overbids. There have been some isolated instances of no offers being received on a property, but that is not common. We can very likely blame the market changes on the start of the Summer Season, with more people going on vacations, as well as educated (and weary) buyers opting out of competing if they feel they don’t have a chance of winning.

Is there a greater chance of winning with fewer offers? Doubtful, given the amount of the overbids below. One thing seems certain; buyers who embrace the market more quickly will pay less than if it takes longer to find a home.

  • At the close of the second quarter of 2015, we had one active, three pending and 12 sold. Of the 12 sold, 10 received multiple offers and sold over their asking price. The amount of the overbids range, from as little as $210,000 to as much as $550,000. Compare this over bid range with the first quarter at $66,000 to $375,000.
  • The amounts of the homes that sold below asking, ranged from $9,000 to $49,000.
  • There is no rhyme or reason to the amount of an overbid; it is dependent on the list price, the amount of interest in the property, what has sold most recently and the buyers in the marketplace that particular week offers are due. A gut reaction to this is that list prices are staying the same or being set lower (not going up with rising prices). That may be part of the fuel keeping prices going.
  • Comparing the same quarter of multiple years indicated that we are right on target for the expected number of sales. We have ranges from 12 to 14 sold properties over the same quarter in the last six years, with only one exception in 2010 when we had 21 sales.
  • You’ve heard me or other real estate agents moan about inventory and how there isn’t much on the market. Interestingly, I think these numbers indicate that West Portal/Inner Parkside is actually quite stable year in and year out; what is different is the number of buyers; not a reduction in listings.
  • Of the 12 sales, five (42%) were reported as all cash (meaning no loan on the property); compare that to the first quarter of 2015, where one (13%) of the eight sales reported all cash. This is contradictory to what I am seeing and hearing – more transactions with financing; I speculate that cash is saved for only the most in demand properties.
  • On average across the board by house type, appreciation for last quarter to the current quarter looks like it’s up three to five percent.
  • Year to year, appreciation looks to be up as much as 11 percent.

Eric Castongia, Residential Sales Specialist at Zephyr Real Estate (BRE Lic. No. 01188380) provided the information in this article. The content of this article is an interpretation of data from the San Francisco Multiple Listing Service and Eric’s observations in the marketplace; he can be reached by e-mail at Eric@SFHotBuy.com, or via mobile phone at (415)307-1700.